(Cross-posted from Twitter.)
My take on Leopold Aschenbrenner's new report: I think Leopold gets it right on a bunch of important counts.
Three that I especially care about:
- Full AGI and ASI soon. (I think his arguments for this have a lot of holes, but he gets the basic point that superintelligence looks 5 or 15 years off rather than 50+.)
- This technology is an overwhelmingly huge deal, and if we play our cards wrong we're all dead.
- Current developers are indeed fundamentally unserious about the core risks, and need to make IP security and closure a top priority.
I especially appreciate that the report seems to get it when it comes to our basic strategic situation: it gets that we may only be a few years away from a truly world-threatening technology, and it speaks very candidly about the implications of this, rather than soft-pedaling [...]
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First published: June 6th, 2024
Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Yig9oa4zGE97xM2os/response-to-aschenbrenner-s-situational-awareness ---
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TYPE III AUDIO.
