The Evolution of AI

The two most popular AI questions are Matakulous, with thousands of individual forecasts. Easy starts at 2055, drops to 2033 after GPT-3, then starts rising again. It stays high until early 2021, then has another precipitous drop around April 2022. Neither chat GPT nor GPT-4 affects it very much. Most of the commenters blamed Google for its new language model Palm.