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Vol Persistence, The Unholy Trinity of Risk, and the (100 yr) Dragon Portfolio for our 100th episode with Chris Cole

The Derivative

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The Impact of Central Bank Interventions on Volatility and Risk Strategies

The chapter explores the consequences of central banks' interventions on risk premium strategies, leading to a cycle of collapsing strategies being rescued by bank actions. It discusses the disappearance of short volatility trades, constraints on central bank reactivity, and the potential shift in priorities for the Federal Reserve between asset prices and inflation. Analogies and historical examples are used to highlight the dilemma faced by investors and the necessity of adapting strategies in response to changing market dynamics.

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