New Books in Finance cover image

Barry Eichengreen et al., "In Defense of Public Debt" (Oxford UP, 2021)

New Books in Finance

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Are Interest Rates Going Down?

Interest rates were slowly trending downward on average, most recently since the early 19 eighties a and i think there is reason to think that they have now more or less hit bottom. And we'll see a gradual trend in the direction of higher real interest rates. Demographic factors point in that direction. A savings rates, and high saving economies like china may come down to more internationally normal levels. There may be unusually high levels of investment for a couple of decades now,. But we can add increased military spending now in a variety of countries. So changes in demography and savings behavior and investment behavior may all now begin to reverse those trends. That will make managing our inherited debts more challenging.

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