Do You Make Predictions About Tractability?

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As an AI person, do you for yourself privately make predictions? Or do they get in the way of your actual ability to think about a thing? Yeah, I would say what's easy to say is that this problem is tractable. It's going to work. Yes, it's just really hard. Some things turn out to be harder. But it definitely feels tractable. And it feels like at least the team at Tesla, which was what I saw internally, is definitely on track to that.

Andrej Karpathy is a legendary AI researcher, engineer, and educator. He’s the former director of AI at Tesla, a founding member of OpenAI, and an educator at Stanford. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors:
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OUTLINE:
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(00:00) – Introduction
(05:41) – Neural networks
(10:45) – Biology
(16:15) – Aliens
(26:27) – Universe
(38:18) – Transformers
(46:34) – Language models
(56:45) – Bots
(1:03:05) – Google’s LaMDA
(1:10:28) – Software 2.0
(1:21:28) – Human annotation
(1:23:25) – Camera vision
(1:28:30) – Tesla’s Data Engine
(1:32:39) – Tesla Vision
(1:39:09) – Elon Musk
(1:44:17) – Autonomous driving
(1:49:11) – Leaving Tesla
(1:54:39) – Tesla’s Optimus
(2:03:45) – ImageNet
(2:06:23) – Data
(2:16:15) – Day in the life
(2:29:31) – Best IDE
(2:36:37) – arXiv
(2:41:06) – Advice for beginners
(2:50:24) – Artificial general intelligence
(3:03:44) – Movies
(3:09:37) – Future of human civilization
(3:13:56) – Book recommendations
(3:20:05) – Advice for young people
(3:21:56) – Future of machine learning
(3:28:44) – Meaning of life