4min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

The Failure of First Republic Bank | Chris Whalen & Randy Woodward

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Fed Refinanced Mortgages in 2021

The likelihood of prepayment of the mortgage that's tied to the servicing rate is very low. We're going to be lucky to do a trillion seven this year in mortgage issuance. I don't think a lot of people understand how commercial properties are priced. And when interest rates rise and the cost of future cash flows is worth far less, that's a big cocktail. It just doesn't exist as some sort of magic panacea.

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