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Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics
Dwarkesh Podcast
The Doomsay Argument - Is S I a Making a Bad Prediction?
Once you see your room number, it's true that you should be quite surprised about your room number. The sense in which s i a leaves you back at normality with the doomsay argument is once you at on being in the 20 first century. I think there's an intuition there, em, which was sort of like, is s i a making a bad prediction? So you couldn't update against s i a.
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