#52 – Michael Aird on how to do Impact-Driven Research
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Is There a Gap Between Public Estimates and Public Estimation?
There's a good chance governments are missing it too but i'm not sure yeah. You think there are internal estimates like in governments of those numbers but no one's had any reason to do it publiclyYeahyeah there's probably it seems pretty likely i really hope so i i i am confident that governments have some things like like nuclear winter models for private reasons and they don't do them on these public things. So why do you think this gap exists is it because people are just like uncomfortable putting answers to these really uncertain questions or is it that there might be Like difference between personal incentives and social incentives and being wrong or being called out?
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