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Gut Instincts and Big Decisions, with Morgan Housel

Afford Anything

00:00

Challenges of Evaluating Predictions and Limited Data Sets

The speakers discuss the difficulties of evaluating predictions and making decisions with limited data sets, using the example of an economist who has only experienced a few recessions in their career. They emphasize the need for a large amount of data in fields like meteorology and highlight the limitations of economic data, which has only existed since the mid-1940s.

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