There is a great deal of speculation that ukraine is preparing for some kind of counter offensive in the south, perhaps around kerson province and cerson city. This really fits in with a series of attacks behind the front lines that almost amount to ukraine saying, we're coming for you. It's a psychological blow, russia putting them off balance and saying, we are coming for this territory. But i think there are serious doubts over whether ukraine has the military wherewithal even to mount a serious assault on kerson province. The fighting is most acute in the east, in the donbas region. They are attacking a defensive line which runs from a place called