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The Three Principles of Optionality
Richard: There's this tendency throughout human history to have too much confidence in these preductive models, which only ever offer a very simplified version of like a complex chaotc system. And then when the models are wrong, a, things work out very, very badly. So if you're making any kind of decision that's based on a an equation or a model, just don't put all your faith in it. Just remain open to the possibility that you might be wrong, or that your model might be wrong. instead of plannd accordingly.