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Episode 95: Berryhorse Joins for a Discussion

Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts

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The Market Is Always Wrong

The market is obviously wrong because otherwise you would just win 100% of the bets at closing line value in theory if the market was always right. Still, that's not to suggest that it's not a highly useful tool to assume that the market is always right. I don't say this like disparagingly, like it works like the proofs in the pudding, but it's still wrong. It might be on by a fraction of a cent or any but even that we can claim the median outcome on the chief's Kansas City, Philly, Super Bowl is pick in 51 or whatever it was. But it may be it's pick minus O two or pick minus O three,. The no big

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