Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours cover image

Seven: Prof Tetlock on why accurate forecasting matters for everything, and how you can do it better

Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours

CHAPTER

Forecasting Tournaments

I think that we should be linking forecasting tournaments to policy. We have to bridge the rigorrelevant gap. The best way to do that is by running second generation forecasting tournaments. creative questions are the third sort of things i think u we want to put into basian question clusters. An tha link, short german, long term, so we can figure out whether we're on a historical trajectory toward a nuclear war or a strong a. I dislocating labor markets and whatever.

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