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Christine Benz and John Rekenthaler: Revisiting What Is a Safe Retirement Spending Rate After a Tough Year

The Long View

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What Are the Most Significant Changes From Last Year's Study?

This is the second time we've run the study the first one being in 2021. We assumed that the retiree was aiming for a 90% success rate. In other words, a 90% chance that he or she wouldn't outlive. So her assets over that 30 year time horizon. And importantly, we assumed what we have kind of short handedly called a fixed real withdrawal system so we're assuming that the retireer withdraws. Ex percentage in year one of retirement and then inflation adjust that dollar amount thereafter. But anyway, when we compare this year's result versus last year's last year it was 3.3% a very low number certainly relative to that 4%.

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