We spend much time thinking about the quite unlikely scenarios of the end of the world through climate change, or some other calamity. I sense that perhaps this is just the historian's instinct, that each of these sonarios is, in fact, very low probability indeed. And so i think the epistemic problem, as i see it, is amenian morris wrote this in one of his recent books: The scenario extinction level event, or the singularity. But these don't seem likely scenarios to me. They lie in the realm of uncertainty.

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