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How Passive HODL-ing Of Stocks Leads to Extreme Crashes | Mike Green
Forward Guidance
The Fed Chair Is Not Actually Approved for His Next Term
The S&P 500 had a peak to trough decline of 19.7% or something in October 2018. That was about the middle, either the end of the beginning of the sell off that started with the Fed continuing to hike rates ultimately led into the power pivot in December. So if we're on October and if your analogy is perfect, that means we would have maybe at least another month of a sell off before a Powell pivot again. What do you think the odds are of that? And you brought in to also the 50 basis point hike in March. How far does the market think the Fed will hike the highest point, the terminal rate, which is about 2-2.2
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