China's Allies Will Expect the United States to Defend Taan

Any significant use of military force against tiwan, certainly tiwan proper rat in the offshore islands, is likely to generate a us Response. The chinese are unlikely to sort of work its way up to dramatic military action because that doesn't actually make sense. And so i think what the chinese are much more likely to do, if they are resolute about it, which i think they are,. Then you go big or go home, as we say in the united states. That means an invasion. But there will be relatively little warning, as o yosa pea.