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Markets Are Trapped In A "Liquidity Limbo" | Jurrien Timmer

Supply Shock

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The Risk of a Recession in the Banking System

A credit crunch is a feature of many, many recessions in the past. And so as banks need to compete for those deposits through higher rates, it's going to affect their net interest margin (NIM) That means they're going to lend less money out into the economy or be more choosy about what money they lend and that could create a credit crunch. But then it really comes down to the duration and magnitude of that earnings decline and how quickly the Fed offsets it through easier policy.

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