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SERI 2022: Timelines for Transformative AI and Language Model Alignment | Ajeya Cotra

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How Linear Is Augurnty Progress?

A, i think a mildly surprising recent development was the deep mind language model models gopheur and retro. O, andsom specificalys have changed by no dramatic shift since then. And in the model, ont one of the imputs a sort of a agrthmic progress. How linear is augurnty progress? What probability would you put on continues chump in the future? Pre idiatic.

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