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H4L – An Introduction to Higher for Longer

IBKR Podcasts

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Introduction

The bond market is pricing a 95% chance of a 25 basis point interest rate hike at next week's Federal Reserve meeting. The recession outlook, which was a consensus view in the first half of the year, has been pushed out to 2024 as growth continues to muddle along in usual. This is a Goldilocks environment or risky assets or for risk parity strategies and active managers are underperforming both stocks and bonds materially.

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