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S&P To Fall 20%+ Once Markets Stop Deluding Themselves About A 'Soft Landing' | Alf Peccatiello

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

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Is the Market Pricing the Recession?

The market is basically selling a very high probability 60 to 70%. You can go and read it in the article how do I extrapolate these probabilities that effectively a soft landing will unfold. The Chinese growth push will allow us to avoid a recession but at the same time, the Chinese reopening will not spur inflation again. Most importantly Adam credit spreads. These credit spreads are on average 1000 basis points 10% over treasuries could be 7, 8, 12 depends on the depth of the recession and how bad it is. So we are slowly walking there yet markets are choosing to focus on the growth impulse coming from China rather than potentially negative inflation. And then we're trying to boost like which

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