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Making Better Decisions with Annie Duke
The Behavioral Design Podcast
Getting Closer to That Bull's Eye
Everything is an educated gas ry, and your job is to figure out how much educated you can get into the guess. Theoretically says it could weigh anywhere from zero pounds to,. i don't know, like a trillion pounds - that it could be anywhere in that range. So notice what, i have no idea. I would just be guessing. And somehow people think that's bad, but i think that's great. You've just defined a really good target area; hopefully you've captured that bull's eye somewhere between 12 hundred and three thousand pounds.
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