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5 - Infra-Bayesianism with Vanessa Kosoy
AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
How to Deal With Non Realized Ability?
In standard basianism, you could just have a mixture distribution over all that convex. And i'm wondering how that lets you deal with non realized ability. So the thing is, i can ac set. You can think of it as some property that you, er, the world might have, right? Lik suppose, just, let's think of a trivial example. Suppose your world is a sequence of bits and maybe old even bits are equal to zero. But this hypotysis doesn't tell us anything about odd bits. Is only a hypothesis about even bits. It's very easy to describe it as such a confact set whi just consider all probability distributions that predict a
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