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The Huge Significance of Small Banks

What Goes Up

CHAPTER

Is There a Risk of a Recession Coming?

The traditional inverse bond stock correlation broke down and both fell together last year. The risk to the 60-40 portfolio is that you may be winning something maybe if rates go lower, but the stock part of your portfolio is just going to get hammered if we do have a recession. So why not just step away from the 60- 40 and say, I can actually do some stock picking and credit selection with the idea of if there is a risk of a recession coming, maybe I should just not be in the stock market?

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