Thorndike's Discussion on Drowning in the Roman World

Is Thorndike looking at these prophetic results as a kind of ex-event to commentary on actual historical events? Or is that not what he's doing? So I think he's saying are the predictions kind of categories that are fixed by astrology as an art? Is it one of those things where like you kind of go with the conventions of the genre regardless of the, the kind of historical reality of how likely those predictions are? And I mean, that's always a really difficult thing to know when working with astrological texts that make specific predictions. Sometimes they make that make predictions that, you know, logically seem a bit, a bit weird and you think, is that a