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16min chapter
Michael Mauboussin - Pattern Recognition and Public Markets (EP.370)
Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry
Limits of Expertise in Predictions
Exploring the challenges experts face in predicting outcomes in complex systems compared to structured environments. From macroeconomic forecasting to microeconomic analysis, the chapter discusses the use of pattern recognition, decision aids, and historical performance in investment decision-making. It also delves into the role of intuition and cognitive biases in pattern recognition within various domains like sports and investing.
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highlights
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