6min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

Are Bonds Pricing in a Market Crash? | Alfonso Peccatiello

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

How to Short a Tips Market

I'm considering basically underweighting or shorting the tips market. The Federal Reserve has a both a monetary policy and a political incentive to get away from the zero lower bound by then face elections in 2022. I think real interest rates over the long term will be very low but as we need to allocate capital with a let's see six to twelve months horizon I would rather underweight tips at this stage now nominal interest rates at the front end are already reprising up.

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