3min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

“Nightmare Scenario” For The Fed | Felix Jauvin

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

Commodity Prices in a Recession

Timothy Stanley: Can you explain the time horizon for commodities pricing in a recession? It seems like if you believe in deflation over at least over the short term, commodities kind of have to go down, right? He says as we see CPI bottom out, see commodities might already start to rise. Stanley: I think core CPI, especially because of goods and services, will add to a significant component of month-of-a-month deflation.

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