Longer-term view: exports and commoditization

Episode 234 may go down as one of the most consequential conversations yet on China EVs & More. Tu and Lei unpack the Canada–China trade truce that effectively opens the door for Chinese EV imports into North America—and why this moment could trigger a chain reaction across the U.S., Mexico, and global auto markets.  

Canada’s decision to allow up to 49,000 Chinese EVs at just 6.1% tariffs isn’t about volume—it’s about symbolism. Once the door opens, it rarely closes. The hosts explain why this move pressures the U.S. ahead of USMCA renegotiations, accelerates conversations around Chinese manufacturing in Canada, and raises the stakes for GM, Ford, and the German luxury brands already losing ground in China.

The episode also breaks down 2025 China auto and NEV sales, showing a maturing but brutally competitive market where growth now comes from stealing share, not market expansion. With BYD, Geely, Chery, Leapmotor, and Huawei-backed brands targeting aggressive 2026 volumes, the pressure on legacy OEMs—especially BMW, Mercedes, Audi, and Porsche—has never been higher.

Tu and Lei debate which Chinese OEMs are best positioned for Canada and eventually the U.S., why affordable EVs in the $30–40K range are the real battleground, and how price cuts of 10–25% by German brands reveal structural inefficiencies long masked by premium margins.

Strategic, provocative, and deeply grounded in real data, this episode explains why North America just entered a new phase of the China EV story—and why the next 12–18 months may redefine the global auto industry.

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⏱️ Chapter Timestamps (for YouTube description)

00:00 – Welcome & episode overview

01:30 – Personal EV ownership pain: Hyundai IONIQ 5 breakdown story

05:55 – Breaking news: Canada–China EV trade truce explained

07:40 – Why 49,000 EVs matters more symbolically than numerically

09:30 – What this means for the U.S. & USMCA negotiations

11:30 – Could Chinese automakers build in Canada next?

13:45 – Which Chinese OEMs are best positioned for North America

16:10 – Canada vs U.S. consumer demand & EV affordability

18:50 – 2025 China auto & NEV sales breakdown

21:30 – A maturing market: growth vs market-share battles

24:10 – BYD, Geely, Chery & Leapmotor’s 2026 ambitions

27:10 – German automakers’ reckoning in China

30:20 – BMW & Mercedes price cuts expose margin pressure

33:15 – Porsche’s dramatic collapse in China

35:50 – Flagship EVs eating into German luxury sedans

38:20 – Why affordable EVs are the real global battleground

41:10 – Chinese speed vs legacy inefficiency

44:30 – Audience Q&A: unions, manufacturing & homologation

48:00 – Can Chinese EVs be driven into the U.S. from Canada?

51:30 – Final thoughts & what to watch next