Forecasting the Future - The Secret of Good Judgment

In two thousand and 11 the government created a forecasting tournament that was open to the public. Five teams joined this competition, and through them, thousands of ordinary people tried to predict global events. Two years later, four of those five teams were eliminated because they weren't accurate enough. This meant only one team remained - called good judgment. And i'm still a card carrying member, although i do find the day job interferes with doing as much forecasting as i would like.