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A 2023 Global Macro Outlook | Joseph Wang & George Goncalves

Supply Shock

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Day Trading SPACs

This was the worst bond market year in history or at least in decades. Bonds typically were a hedge, but they were a hedge because rates were declining all throughout the last 30-40 years. This is one of the reasons why investors are viewing that, if we get to a pause in the economy, we can handle these higher rates as long as the Fed's not cutting rates. So if you invested in 30-year treasury bonds, you're down close to 30% and if you did, as a month or two months ago, it was even more. The time that you should actually be on full alarm, it's code red, is actually when the inverted yield curve starts re-

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