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The Difference Between Expert and Non-Expert
Lewis: Is there a tension between, you know, we shouldn't trust experts necessarily and should be wary of them? Lewis: I made the tableau in the black swan to explain which field the expert doesn't have to work. He says it has to do with fat dance; dentist is an expert at being a plumber but macro economist not sure if he's good enough for that job. The same thing happens in medicine, epidemiologists aren't really experts because they're dealing with thin-tailed processes.