There is reason for concern because this is the kind of situation where you could get a military confrontation, although both sides are cautious about it. The Chinese believe with some reason that if one renegade province can break away from China, many others can. I do not believe that either side right now really wants a hot war. Even if they want it, the long-term cost would be staggering. Their economy would go into freefall and that would not be good for the longevity of the Chinese Communist Party.
The Chinese military conducted military exercises around the island of Taiwan last week after a group of bipartisan lawmakers met with Taiwan’s president. How likely is China to invade Taiwan? What would that invasion consist of? And how would the U.S. react? We pose these questions to Deputy Editor of the Asia Times, and Claremont Fellow David Goldman. Get the facts first on Morning Wire.
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