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Why Did People Like Janet Yellen Say You Were Wrong?
I was surprised that there weren't more people in agreement with me. It's tempting to blame it on politics and people wanting to do politi things, but i don't think there's heavy motivation of a political kind among the prominent business economics forecasters at the major financial firms. People wanted to avoid the mistakes of the slow recovery after a 20 ten so they wanted to believe that they could engage in very substantially expansionary a policies. I would put emphasis on short memories. And it had been forty years since we'd had inflation, so more or less, anybody's lived experience didn't include a major acceleration and inflation. A bad statistical modelling also played a factor. Some in the financial