Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours cover image

Nine: Dave Denkenberger on feeding the world through catastrophes

Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours

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Are You Having a Huge Impact?

Yestyer: If i tried to think about my prior before doing this work, i would probably have very large uncertainty bounds. But it is true that some people do invent something that's really important and have a big impact. So even though the analysis ends up with quite a bit of uncertainty, i think it's a lot less uncertainty than i would have had going into it. Yestyer: This question of what prior should we have against being able to have a huge impact is kind of interesting, and probably should get a sectiono on another episode.

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