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McCarthy doesn't actually need to get a specific number of votes to win. He just needs to win a majority of those lawmakers' votes who are present. It helps him because it's essentially lowering the number of people who are opposing him. By Friday night at 10 p.m., McCarthy and his team think they've gotten the math right, they think this is finally going to be the ballot that wins him Speaker's gavel. But of course, that's not what happens.