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84 - Is the CSTO Facing Collapse?

The Red Line

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CSTR and Russia in the South Caucasus

Armenia has for a long time now been incredibly close with Moscow. So when Azerbaijan launched an offensive to retake the Armenian held Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia stepped in as the largest military in the Caucasus. The CSTR wasn't called in and this time Russia never came to the rescue. Lukashenko is in a situation where he has become so dependent on Moscow that he's not really in a position to send them very strong messages. But at the same time, he is still trying to keep Belarusian forces out of the war. I would put it down more to other reasons and not that Lukashenko was trying to send Moscow a message.

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