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ALO02: Properly Diversifying a $1.6Trillion Portfolio ft. Sebastien Page

Top Traders Unplugged

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How to Use Average Correlations in Risk Modeling

The correlation between US stocks and non-US stocks, we had almost 40 years of monthly data here, was 87% when US stock returns were selling off. But what was it when markets were rallying, like top 1 to 5% of monthly returns going back for the years? Oh, great diversification, it was minus 17%. So you have this asymmetry and if you just use the average correlation, it's pretty meaningless. And by the way, all other asset class, almost all of them, except for Treasuries, have this undesirable asymmetry.

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