6min chapter

This Week in Intelligent Investing cover image

Confidence vs. Overconfidence | Idea Generation and Getting to ”No” Quickly

This Week in Intelligent Investing

CHAPTER

Are You Overly Confident?

John MacIntosh: You need some confidence in order to make those non consensus, contrarian investments that ultimately can deliver great returns. He says you have to have enough humility to recognize that you could be wrong. MacIntosh said sports analogies are interesting because the base rate of failure is pretty unfavorable. It's not like one high school or college player is ever going to play professional football en route to being a millionaire.

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