Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours cover image

One: Toby Ord on existential risks

Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours

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What Is the Probability of the Natural Risks?

We have been around for about two thousand centuries. Homosapians longer. This gives us a kind of argument that the risk from natural causes, assuming it hasn't been increasing overtime, that this risk must be quite low. The chance ends up being something less than one in two thousand,. is what we canind of learn from that. And this wis supplies to the natural risks.

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