Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours cover image

Nine: Dave Denkenberger on feeding the world through catastrophes

Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours

CHAPTER

Are There Any Estimates of the Probability of a Super Volcano Blocking the Sun?

Do we have any estimate of the probability of an asteroid or super volcano that would h would cause a a risk to a human food supply? Yes, if you're talking about blocking the sun, then it really is around one in, i think, ten million years. And the volcan s is more likely, more like one in a hundred thousand or a million years. How robust ore those estimates gisine? We've had a couple of a volcano is erupt and changed, cange the biosphere during the million years or so that humanity has been around.

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