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Keeping it Simple | Ep. 20: Secular, Cyclical... it's all a fubar fugazi!

Keeping it Simple with Simplify Asset Management

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Is the Stock Market a Leading Indicator?

The single largest contributor to leading indicators tends to be the stock market itself. The lead time ahead of troughs tends to be relatively consistent in the one to three month range, but it doesn't tend to be very consistent at all at the peaks. So I look for dominantly to two sectors of the economy to derive my forecast for where the broader economy is going.

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