2023: What’s the Worst That Could Happen?
Why It Matters
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The PPS's Threats to Taiwan
Each of these seven high impact scenarios was determined to have at least a moderate chance of occurring in the next year. Beijing is taking steps to increase its military pressure on Taiwan, carrying out now regular amphibious assault exercises and military and spy flights over the nation. If something happens in Taiwan, we are in trouble. It kind of feels like Taiwan is the thing that gets talked about more often than like anything else in our building. And the demands are pretty intense.
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