Seven: Prof Tetlock on why accurate forecasting matters for everything, and how you can do it better
Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours
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Are Prediction Markets Necessary?
The surprising informational value of just asking where they yo. Cn o suggest that perhaps we don't need predictions, prediction marketsWhere we can just kind of survey people on there on their pobabl estimates of different things. Why do you think it is that thether motivation, or the rewards of prediction markets aren't as necessary as some some listeners think they are? I think prediction markets are very ablen. You really, for tournaments are really only beating prediction markets under certain conditions. The question is whether really strong forecasting tournaments cannot perform deep liquid markets and that, still remains to be determinedd.
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