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TIP496: Mastermind Q4 2022 w/ Tobias Carlisle and Hari Ramachandra
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
The Three Month Yield Is a Good Predictor of Recessions
When the three month yields more than the 10 year, typically what that indicates. That's got a very good track record of predicting recessions. And it's currently inverted for Cam Harvey's signal to work. It needs to be inverted for 90 days and it's only been inverted for about a week. But you can pull this data up. All available free on the feds website on the Alfred website. You can look at these inversions and there was an inversion in 2007, 2009. There was an inverted predicted in 2000. There was one just before March 2020 which is really odd. Like that 10, three inversion predicted the COVID crash as funny as that sounds but that
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