The GOP is one debate into the 2024 primary season, and many are eager to see how the winds have turned. Henry's back with another batch of polling savants to assess. Politico's Steven Shepard considers whether Hurricane Idalia's big splash in Florida's Big Bend will breathe some life into Ron DeSantis' campaign. Brianne Pfannenstiel of The Des Moines Register explains the Iowa caucus, and fills us in on the key lessons to take away from the showing in 2016. And Ramesh Ponnuru joins to discuss last week'sRepublican debate—which you may have noticed was missing its party's frontrunner. Henry also covers Team Biden's powerful "These Guys" ad.

All this and more awaits beyond the polls!