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Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides Trap?
Graham Allison looked at 16 periods when a ruling power clashed with a rising power. 12 ended up in war, such as the Habsburgs fighting the Ottomans and only four didn't result in all-out conflict,. most famously the Cold War during the 20th century between the US and the USSR. He argues that China and America are the Athens and Sparta of the present day. Allison: "I describe it in my book as the rising power syndrome"