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The Long-Lasting War in Ukraine
There was a prospect here of prolonged chaos, even regime change in Russia. Progosion probably would have been stopped violently on the outskirts of Moscow one way or the other. Ukrainian officers had hoped Russia would have to redeploy its reserves from Ukraine and send them back home. That didn't happen, but I do think that even if this was ephemeral, it's going to have a pretty lasting impact on the battlefield.