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A 2023 Global Macro Outlook | Joseph Wang & George Goncalves

Supply Shock

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Is the CPI Going to Be at Zero Month Over Month?

Inflation could be at zero month over month, but the year over year figure will still be, you know, 6%, 5% 4%. So it wouldn't take until October 2023. If we get just normal inflation from now here on out by the middle of the year, we can be kind of getting close to the Fed's targets. And that's one of the reasons why I'm a little bit, a little more sanguine about the outlook.

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