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China's Potential Influence in Central Asia: The Tajikistan Perspective
The chapter explores the potential impact of China on Tajikistan, focusing on concerns related to geographical obstacles, political relations with Russia, and risks associated with controlling a Muslim region. It discusses government responses to unrest, wargaming scenarios, and structural weaknesses in the military. The chapter also evaluates the recent crisis in Tajikistan, the possibilities of a Russian coup, and the dynamics of a military conflict with Kyrgyzstan.